Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio Libero Liberati
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.24)
0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | 31.3% | 30.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Pineto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ternana | 0 | 14.3% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 90% | 50% |
| Defense | 60% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
65%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 0% | 67% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 50% | 0% | 29% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Ternana: LLWWDWL • Pineto: DWDWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ternana | Pineto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 86% | 86% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ternana | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 64.5% | 35.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.05 (league 1.24), Pineto = 0.89 (league 1.12)
| Pineto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ternana | 0 | 14.3% | 12.8% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 13.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.5% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 30.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1