Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.24) 0.44 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.3% 34.3% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.7%
0 - 0
22.7%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 22.7% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGubbioPontedera
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack27%40%
Defense73%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gubbio Pontedera
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%50%43%50%0%29%
Draws67%25%43%0%33%14%
Loses0%25%14%50%67%57%

Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLD • Pontedera: LLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Gubbio Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total336426
GF avg1.00.80.91.00.70.9
GA total2359413
GA avg0.70.80.72.31.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGubbioPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%57%100%
1.50%14%29%43%
2.50%0%0%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGubbioPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets123000
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricGubbioPontedera
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGubbioPontedera
Wins21
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-12-1
Biggest losses2-00-42-1
Goals For1121
Goals Against1242

Model comparison

MetricGubbioPontedera
Form53%47%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pontedera

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Betano
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Betano
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 1.05 (league 1.24), Pontedera = 0.44 (league 1.12)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 22.7% 9.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.7% 10.4% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.4% 5.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 15.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1