Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.24) 2.58 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 18.6% 44.7%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 2
6.5%
2 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
1 2.0% 5.1% 6.5% 5.6% 3.6% 1.9%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiPerugia
Played55
Form27%7%
Attack33%27%
Defense40%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Perugia
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%0%0%0%
Draws67%0%29%25%67%43%
Loses33%50%43%75%33%57%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLL • Perugia: DDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Perugia
HATHAT
GF total437156
GF avg1.30.81.00.31.70.9
GA total55105611
GA avg1.71.31.41.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiPerugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%57%86%
1.514%57%29%57%
2.50%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiPerugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets022101
Failed to score011303

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiPerugia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiPerugia
Wins10
Draws13
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-23-2
Goals For2112
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiPerugia
Form80%20%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total58.7%41.3%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.42 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Betano
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betano
No2.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 2.09 (league 1.24), Perugia = 2.58 (league 1.12)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 0.9% 2.4% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
1 2.0% 5.1% 6.5% 5.6% 3.6% 1.9%
2 2.1% 5.3% 6.8% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9%
3 1.4% 3.7% 4.8% 4.1% 2.6% 1.4%
4 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7%
5 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 44.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1