Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.24) 0.21 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.4% 17.8% 3.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
21.8%
3 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 12.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliPontedera
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%86%
Defense86%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Pontedera
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%100%75%50%0%25%
Draws50%0%25%0%50%25%
Loses0%0%0%50%50%50%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWW • Pontedera: LLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Ascoli Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total7815437
GF avg1.82.01.91.00.80.9
GA total1019514
GA avg0.30.00.12.31.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliPontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%13%63%100%
1.563%0%25%38%
2.538%0%0%25%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliPontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets347000
Failed to score202213

Penalties

MetricAscoliPontedera
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAscoliPontedera
Wins11
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-1
Biggest losses0-42-1
Goals For4321
Goals Against1042

Model comparison

MetricAscoliPontedera
Form68%32%
Att68%32%
Def90%10%
Poisson Distribution92%8%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Winner : Ascoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Betano
Draw4.65 @ Pinnacle
Away11.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.03 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ Bet365
No1.53 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.88 (league 1.24), Pontedera = 0.21 (league 1.12)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 12.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.8% 4.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.4% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.4% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1