Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.24) 0.36 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 40.1% 14.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 30.3% 10.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoGubbio
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack73%27%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Gubbio
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%100%88%25%50%38%
Draws0%0%0%75%25%50%
Loses25%0%13%0%25%13%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWW • Gubbio: WDDWWLDD

League goals

Metric Arezzo Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total51116437
GF avg1.32.82.01.00.80.9
GA total246336
GA avg0.51.00.80.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoGubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%88%63%
1.550%25%0%13%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoGubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score101011

Penalties

MetricArezzoGubbio
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricArezzoGubbio
Wins42
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-0
Goals For3411
Goals Against1212

Model comparison

MetricArezzoGubbio
Form60%40%
Att73%27%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away6.55 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.71 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.62 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 0.84 (league 1.24), Gubbio = 0.36 (league 1.12)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 30.3% 10.8% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1