Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Tullo Morgagni
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.22) 0.61 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.0% 33.0% 20.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.7%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forli 0 18.7% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricForliTernana
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack50%70%
Defense50%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Forli Ternana
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%25%50%75%25%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%25%13%
Loses25%75%50%25%50%38%

Form: Forli: LWWLLWLW • Ternana: LLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Forli Ternana
HATHAT
GF total5386511
GF avg1.30.81.01.51.31.4
GA total257448
GA avg0.51.30.91.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineForliTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%63%88%
1.525%13%50%13%
2.513%0%13%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricForliTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricForliTernana
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricForliTernana
Wins22
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-12-10-21-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricForliTernana
Form38%63%
Att42%58%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.8%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Forli or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away2.30 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Forli = 1.06 (league 1.22), Ternana = 0.61 (league 1.06)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forli 0 18.7% 11.4% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 6.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.0% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 20.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1