Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Attilio Bravi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.24) 0.93 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 27.6% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bra 0 10.2% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBraAthletic Carpi
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack27%33%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bra Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%50%38%
Draws50%0%25%50%0%25%
Loses25%100%63%25%50%38%

Form: Bra: LDLDLLWL • Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Bra Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
GF total527639
GF avg1.30.50.91.50.81.1
GA total59145510
GA avg1.32.31.81.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBraAthletic Carpi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%88%63%
1.525%38%25%50%
2.50%25%0%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBraAthletic Carpi
HATHAT
Clean sheets000123
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricBraAthletic Carpi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBraAthletic Carpi
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-11-23-1
Goals For2121
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricBraAthletic Carpi
Form40%60%
Att44%56%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution63%38%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.5%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bra or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betano
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bra = 1.36 (league 1.24), Athletic Carpi = 0.93 (league 1.12)

Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bra 0 10.2% 9.4% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 25.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1