Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.21) 0.94 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.6% 38.2% 52.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.6%
0 - 1
28.6%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rimini
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 30.6% 28.6% 13.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 7.6% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaRimini
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack30%40%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Rimini
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins0%0%0%25%25%25%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses75%50%63%75%50%63%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLL • Rimini: LDLLWLWL

League goals

Metric Perugia Rimini
HATHAT
GF total156235
GF avg0.31.30.80.50.80.6
GA total58136410
GA avg1.32.01.61.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaRimini
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%88%50%75%
1.525%63%13%25%
2.50%13%0%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaRimini
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score314224

Penalties

MetricPerugiaRimini
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPerugiaRimini
Wins01
Draws31
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-01-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-42-1
Goals For1212
Goals Against2342

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaRimini
Form0%100%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total29.4%70.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Rimini and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.25 (league 1.21), Rimini = 0.94 (league 1.11)

Rimini
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 30.6% 28.6% 13.4% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2%
1 7.6% 7.1% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 0.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.6% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 52.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1