Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.12 (league 1.24) 2.32 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.3% 11.3% 84.3%
best score tips
0 - 2
23.4%
0 - 1
20.2%
0 - 3
18.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 8.7% 20.2% 23.4% 18.1% 10.5% 4.9%
1 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiAscoli
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack62%100%
Defense54%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Ascoli
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins25%60%44%60%100%78%
Draws50%0%22%40%0%22%
Loses25%40%33%0%0%0%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWW • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total661212820
GF avg1.51.21.32.42.02.2
GA total5611101
GA avg1.31.21.20.20.00.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%78%11%
1.533%44%67%0%
2.511%11%44%0%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets123448
Failed to score011202

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiAscoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiAscoli
Wins11
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses1-23-1
Goals For2353
Goals Against2310

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiAscoli
Form38%63%
Att33%67%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h20%80%
Goals43%57%
Total29.6%70.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ascoli

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away1.99 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 0.12 (league 1.24), Ascoli = 2.32 (league 1.12)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 8.7% 20.2% 23.4% 18.1% 10.5% 4.9%
1 1.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.3% 0.6%
2 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.3% · Draw 11.3% · Away win 84.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1