Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.24) 2.05 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.8% 21.3% 49.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 9.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaVis Pesaro
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack33%33%
Defense0%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%0%22%20%0%11%
Draws0%40%22%80%50%67%
Loses50%60%56%0%50%22%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDL • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDD

League goals

Metric Pontedera Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total437448
GF avg1.00.60.80.81.00.9
GA total91019178
GA avg2.32.02.10.21.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%100%56%56%
1.522%44%22%22%
2.50%33%11%11%
3.50%22%0%0%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets000404
Failed to score224314

Penalties

MetricPontederaVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPontederaVis Pesaro
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-0
Biggest losses0-45-03-1
Goals For2132
Goals Against4513

Model comparison

MetricPontederaVis Pesaro
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h38%62%
Goals33%67%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vis Pesaro

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away2.25 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 1.45 (league 1.24), Vis Pesaro = 2.05 (league 1.12)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.9%
1 4.4% 9.0% 9.2% 6.3% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.5% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.8% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 49.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1