Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Expected Goals
0.48 (league 1.25)
0.43 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.2% | 49.0% | 23.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
40.3%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gubbio | 0 | 40.3% | 17.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 27% | 36% |
| Defense | 55% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
| Draws | 75% | 20% | 44% | 0% | 20% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 50% | 40% | 44% |
Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLDDL • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 67% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gubbio | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 43.3% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gubbio or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 0.48 (league 1.25), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.43 (league 1.12)
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gubbio | 0 | 40.3% | 17.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 8.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 49.0% · Away win 23.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1