Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 •
Stadio Armando Picchi
Expected Goals
0.19 (league 1.24)
1.34 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.2% | 27.6% | 66.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
28.9%
0 - 0
21.6%
0 - 2
19.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sambenedettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 21.6% | 28.9% | 19.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 18% | 73% |
| Defense | 27% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLL • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Livorno | Sambenedettese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 67% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 56% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Livorno | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 11% | 89% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Sambenedettese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.19 (league 1.24), Sambenedettese = 1.34 (league 1.12)
| Sambenedettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 21.6% | 28.9% | 19.4% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.2% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 66.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1