Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 •
Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.24)
0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.8% | 35.6% | 24.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
1 - 0
19.3%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gubbio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Carpi | 0 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 13% |
| Attack | 80% | 20% |
| Defense | 30% | 30% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 60% | 40% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
| Loses | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWD • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 40% | 0% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Athletic Carpi | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 80% | 20% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 0.90 (league 1.24), Gubbio = 0.64 (league 1.12)
| Gubbio | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Athletic Carpi | 0 | 21.3% | 13.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.3% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.8% · Draw 35.6% · Away win 24.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1