Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.22) 0.67 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.6% 35.1% 25.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 20.5% 13.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiGubbio
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack100%33%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Gubbio
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins20%60%40%20%40%30%
Draws60%0%30%60%20%40%
Loses20%40%30%20%40%30%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWD • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLL

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total7613437
GF avg1.41.21.30.80.60.7
GA total6612549
GA avg1.21.21.21.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiGubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%70%70%
1.530%40%0%20%
2.510%10%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiGubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets123123
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiGubbio
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiGubbio
Wins22
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-10-22-0
Goals For2311
Goals Against2322

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiGubbio
Form78%22%
Att80%20%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total67.5%32.5%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 0.92 (league 1.22), Gubbio = 0.67 (league 1.08)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 20.5% 13.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.8% 12.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.6% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.6% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 25.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1