Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.22) 0.26 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.2% 17.1% 4.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.2%
2 - 0
20.8%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliSambenedettese
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense78%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%40%40%40%
Draws40%20%30%0%40%20%
Loses0%0%0%60%20%40%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWD • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLL

League goals

Metric Ascoli Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total129216713
GF avg2.41.82.11.21.41.3
GA total1126511
GA avg0.20.20.21.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliSambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%20%80%80%
1.560%0%30%30%
2.540%0%10%0%
3.520%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliSambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score202202

Penalties

MetricAscoliSambenedettese
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAscoliSambenedettese
Wins63
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses——1-22-1
Goals For5342
Goals Against1122

Model comparison

MetricAscoliSambenedettese
Form59%41%
Att61%39%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total71.3%28.8%

Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.59 @ Dafabet
Draw4.03 @ Pinnacle
Away7.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.24 @ 188Bet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.97 (league 1.22), Sambenedettese = 0.26 (league 1.06)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 10.8% 2.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.2% 5.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.8% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.2% · Draw 17.1% · Away win 4.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1