Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.24)
0.25 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.1% | 17.4% | 4.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.8%
2 - 0
21.1%
3 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sambenedettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ascoli | 0 | 11.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 75% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 60% | 80% | 70% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Draws | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 60% | 20% | 40% |
Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWD • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ascoli | Sambenedettese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ascoli | Sambenedettese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 61% | 39% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 90% | 10% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.93 (league 1.24), Sambenedettese = 0.25 (league 1.12)
| Sambenedettese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ascoli | 0 | 11.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.8% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.1% | 5.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.6% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.1% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 4.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1