Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 19:30 •
Stadio Renato Curi
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.24)
0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.9% | 46.4% | 37.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.1%
0 - 1
24.5%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 38.1% | 24.5% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 47% |
| Attack | 8% | 33% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
60%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Loses | 80% | 60% | 70% | 40% | 80% | 60% |
Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLL • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Perugia | Livorno | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 90% | 50% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 60% | 10% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Perugia | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 42.3% | 57.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Livorno and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.32 (league 1.24), Livorno = 0.64 (league 1.12)
| Livorno | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Perugia | 0 | 38.1% | 24.5% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.9% · Draw 46.4% · Away win 37.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1