Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.22) 0.89 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.4% 37.4% 43.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
22.3%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 25.2% 22.3% 9.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack41%24%
Defense65%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins40%33%36%40%50%45%
Draws0%33%18%20%17%18%
Loses60%33%45%40%33%36%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLL • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWD

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total6713358
GF avg1.21.21.20.60.80.7
GA total6612437
GA avg1.21.01.10.80.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%82%64%36%
1.527%27%9%27%
2.59%0%0%0%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets112347
Failed to score213224

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-21-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-22-1
Goals For4212
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form46%54%
Att64%36%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.3%54.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.49 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.89 (league 1.08)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 25.2% 22.3% 9.9% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
1 12.4% 11.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.4% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 43.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1