Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.22) 2.07 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 21.2% 50.2%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
1 4.3% 8.9% 9.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaPerugia
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack24%12%
Defense47%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Perugia
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%17%0%9%
Draws0%33%18%17%40%27%
Loses60%50%55%67%60%64%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLW • Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLW

League goals

Metric Pontedera Perugia
HATHAT
GF total448358
GF avg0.80.70.70.51.00.7
GA total11102161117
GA avg2.21.71.91.02.21.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaPerugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%91%45%82%
1.518%45%27%55%
2.50%27%0%18%
3.50%18%0%0%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaPerugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score325426

Penalties

MetricPontederaPerugia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPontederaPerugia
Wins10
Draws13
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-0—
Biggest losses0-45-00-23-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricPontederaPerugia
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Pontedera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 1.44 (league 1.22), Perugia = 2.07 (league 1.06)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 3.0% 6.2% 6.4% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9%
1 4.3% 8.9% 9.2% 6.4% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.4% 6.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0%
3 1.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 50.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1