Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.22) 0.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 36.6% 44.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
22.4%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 24.3% 22.4% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoForli
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack21%43%
Defense43%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Forli
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%17%27%50%40%45%
Draws20%0%9%33%0%18%
Loses40%83%64%17%60%36%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWL • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Livorno Forli
HATHAT
GF total3367512
GF avg0.60.50.51.21.01.1
GA total51217459
GA avg1.02.01.50.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoForli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%73%73%73%
1.59%55%27%9%
2.50%27%9%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoForli
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score336123

Penalties

MetricLivornoForli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLivornoForli
Wins12
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-13-10-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-12-1
Goals For2132
Goals Against3312

Model comparison

MetricLivornoForli
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h100%0%
Goals75%25%
Total42.4%57.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Forli and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.63 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.88 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.49 (league 1.22), Forli = 0.92 (league 1.08)

Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 24.3% 22.4% 10.4% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.9% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 44.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1