Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.23) 1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.3% 32.6% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.7%
0 - 0
19.5%
0 - 2
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 19.5% 21.7% 12.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.2% 11.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGubbioTernana
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack28%28%
Defense72%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gubbio Ternana
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%50%36%60%33%45%
Draws60%17%36%20%33%27%
Loses20%33%27%20%33%27%

Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLW • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWD

League goals

Metric Gubbio Ternana
HATHAT
GF total46107714
GF avg0.81.00.91.41.21.3
GA total5495510
GA avg1.00.70.81.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGubbioTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%64%73%82%
1.59%18%36%9%
2.59%0%9%0%
3.50%0%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGubbioTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets134112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricGubbioTernana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGubbioTernana
Wins22
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-32-01-4
Biggest losses0-22-00-21-0
Goals For1324
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricGubbioTernana
Form38%62%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total35.7%64.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ternana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.02 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 0.52 (league 1.23), Ternana = 1.11 (league 1.08)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 19.5% 21.7% 12.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.2% 11.3% 6.3% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1