Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.22) 0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.2% 45.8% 40.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
37.8%
0 - 1
25.6%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 37.8% 25.6% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoPianese
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack100%83%
Defense17%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Pianese
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins33%40%36%17%40%27%
Draws33%20%27%33%40%36%
Loses33%40%36%50%20%36%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWD • Pianese: DLWDDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric Pineto Pianese
HATHAT
GF total115167310
GF avg1.81.01.51.20.60.9
GA total761310111
GA avg1.21.21.21.70.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoPianese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%64%55%64%
1.536%36%36%18%
2.518%18%0%9%
3.50%0%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoPianese
HATHAT
Clean sheets224044
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricPinetoPianese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPinetoPianese
Wins22
Draws12
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-10-2
Biggest losses2-33-02-41-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3341

Model comparison

MetricPinetoPianese
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h33%67%
Goals17%83%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pianese and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.81 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 0.29 (league 1.22), Pianese = 0.68 (league 1.06)

Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 37.8% 25.6% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
1 11.1% 7.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.2% · Draw 45.8% · Away win 40.0%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1