Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.23) 0.93 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 27.5% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.1% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernanaVis Pesaro
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack100%71%
Defense14%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins60%29%42%33%17%25%
Draws20%43%33%67%50%58%
Loses20%29%25%0%33%17%

Form: Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDD • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDW

League goals

Metric Ternana Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total710175611
GF avg1.41.41.40.81.00.9
GA total5813178
GA avg1.01.11.10.21.20.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernanaVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%83%58%42%
1.542%17%25%17%
2.517%8%8%8%
3.58%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernanaVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets112527
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricTernanaVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTernanaVis Pesaro
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-21-0—3-1
Goals For2432
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricTernanaVis Pesaro
Form50%50%
Att62%38%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h64%36%
Goals57%43%
Total53.3%46.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ternana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away4.95 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.44 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Bet365
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana = 1.37 (league 1.23), Vis Pesaro = 0.93 (league 1.08)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana 0 10.1% 9.3% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.8% 12.8% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.4% 8.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.0% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.5% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 25.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1