Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.97 (league 1.22) 0.69 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 20.3% 12.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiLivorno
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack64%45%
Defense55%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Livorno
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins17%67%42%33%17%25%
Draws50%0%25%17%0%8%
Loses33%33%33%50%83%67%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLW • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Livorno
HATHAT
GF total7714538
GF avg1.21.21.20.80.50.7
GA total961581220
GA avg1.51.01.31.32.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiLivorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%50%75%
1.525%42%17%58%
2.58%17%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiLivorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score112336

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiLivorno
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiLivorno
Wins21
Draws11
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-10-1
Biggest losses0-33-10-33-0
Goals For2321
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiLivorno
Form77%23%
Att58%42%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.8%30.3%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.17 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 1.97 (league 1.22), Livorno = 0.69 (league 1.08)

Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 13.7% 9.5% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.5% 9.4% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.9% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 12.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1