Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.22) 0.52 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 38.3% 21.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.8%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 25.8% 13.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack40%40%
Defense90%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Pontedera
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins40%57%50%33%17%25%
Draws20%14%17%17%33%25%
Loses40%29%33%50%50%50%

Form: Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDW • Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWD

League goals

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Pontedera
HATHAT
GF total3696410
GF avg0.60.90.81.00.70.8
GA total437131023
GA avg0.80.40.62.21.71.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%58%92%
1.58%25%25%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
HATHAT
Clean sheets358011
Failed to score224325

Penalties

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
Wins21
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-10-45-0
Goals For1221
Goals Against2245

Model comparison

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Pontedera
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def91%9%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guidonia Montecelio 1937 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ 10Bet
Draw3.44 @ Pinnacle
Away4.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.84 (league 1.22), Pontedera = 0.52 (league 1.08)

Pontedera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 25.8% 13.4% 3.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1