Fri, Nov 7 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.22) 0.19 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.0% 29.4% 5.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
29.6%
0 - 0
23.5%
2 - 0
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 23.5% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.6% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliGubbio
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%88%
Defense63%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Gubbio
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%67%67%17%50%33%
Draws33%17%25%67%17%42%
Loses0%17%8%17%33%25%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWL • Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWD

League goals

Metric Ascoli Gubbio
HATHAT
GF total139227613
GF avg2.21.51.81.21.01.1
GA total1238412
GA avg0.20.30.31.30.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliGubbio
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%75%67%
1.550%0%17%25%
2.533%0%17%8%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliGubbio
HATHAT
Clean sheets549134
Failed to score213123

Penalties

MetricAscoliGubbio
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAscoliGubbio
Wins62
Draws12
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-31-00-3
Biggest losses—1-00-22-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against1132

Model comparison

MetricAscoliGubbio
Form67%33%
Att61%39%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h64%36%
Goals60%40%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Unibet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Betfair
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.26 (league 1.22), Gubbio = 0.19 (league 1.06)

Gubbio
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 23.5% 4.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 29.6% 5.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.7% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1