Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 16:30 •
Vanni Sanna
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.22)
1.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 26.4% | 59.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 0
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Perugia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torres | 0 | 13.4% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Torres | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 33% |
| Attack | 0% | 33% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Torres | Perugia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 14% | 0% | 8% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 14% | 50% | 31% | 29% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 71% | 50% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 54% |
Form: Torres: WLLDDLLLDLDLL • Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDD
League goals
| Metric | Torres | Perugia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Torres | Perugia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 77% | 46% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 46% | 31% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Torres | Perugia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Torres | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Torres | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Torres | Perugia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Perugia and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Torres = 0.54 (league 1.22), Perugia = 1.47 (league 1.06)
| Perugia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torres | 0 | 13.4% | 19.7% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 59.7%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1