Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 16:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.22) 0.17 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.9% 68.0% 12.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
65.1%
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 65.1% 10.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack31%46%
Defense92%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

37%
FT probability

2.5+

26%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%14%23%50%57%54%
Draws67%57%62%17%14%15%
Loses0%29%15%33%29%31%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWD • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWW

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total57125611
GF avg0.81.00.90.80.90.8
GA total189437
GA avg0.21.10.70.70.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%46%69%31%
1.523%15%15%23%
2.58%8%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets527459
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins12
Draws31
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-00-2
Biggest losses—3-10-22-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form41%59%
Att40%60%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Guidonia Montecelio 1937 and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.31 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 0.26 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.17 (league 1.08)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 65.1% 10.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.1% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 68.0% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1