Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.22) 1.58 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.4% 25.2% 52.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.2%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 8.4% 13.2% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseTernana
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack15%54%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Ternana
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%29%31%50%29%38%
Draws0%43%23%33%43%38%
Loses67%29%46%17%29%23%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLD • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDD

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Ternana
HATHAT
GF total681481018
GF avg1.01.11.11.31.41.4
GA total77146814
GA avg1.21.01.11.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%85%77%85%
1.523%23%38%15%
2.58%0%15%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseTernana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseTernana
Wins32
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-22-01-4
Biggest losses1-22-10-21-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseTernana
Form13%88%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total41.0%59.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ternana

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away2.15 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.58 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.90 (league 1.22), Ternana = 1.58 (league 1.06)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 8.4% 13.2% 10.4% 5.5% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.9% 9.4% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6%
2 3.4% 5.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
3 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.4% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 52.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1