Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.22) 1.45 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.0% 25.5% 68.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.6%
0 - 2
19.3%
0 - 0
18.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 18.4% 26.6% 19.3% 9.3% 3.4% 1.0%
1 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaPianese
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack33%44%
Defense0%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Pianese
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%29%33%31%
Draws17%29%23%29%50%38%
Loses50%57%54%43%17%31%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDL • Pianese: DLWDDLWWLDLDW

League goals

Metric Pontedera Pianese
HATHAT
GF total64108412
GF avg1.00.60.81.10.70.9
GA total13122510212
GA avg2.21.71.91.40.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaPianese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%92%62%62%
1.523%54%31%15%
2.50%23%0%8%
3.50%15%0%8%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaPianese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011145
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricPontederaPianese
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPontederaPianese
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-10-2
Biggest losses0-45-02-41-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against4541

Model comparison

MetricPontederaPianese
Form44%56%
Att43%57%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : Pontedera or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.00 @ 10Bet
Away2.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 0.25 (league 1.22), Pianese = 1.45 (league 1.06)

Pianese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 18.4% 26.6% 19.3% 9.3% 3.4% 1.0%
1 4.5% 6.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
2 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.0% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 68.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1