Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.22) 1.11 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 30.6% 40.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.6% 15.1% 8.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.3% 5.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedettesePineto
Played55
Form13%73%
Attack14%57%
Defense64%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Pineto
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%29%29%38%50%43%
Draws14%43%29%38%17%29%
Loses57%29%43%25%33%29%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDD • Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Pineto
HATHAT
GF total681413720
GF avg0.91.11.01.61.21.4
GA total77148715
GA avg1.01.01.01.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedettesePineto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%93%64%
1.521%21%36%29%
2.57%0%14%14%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedettesePineto
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score415011

Penalties

MetricSambenedettesePineto
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSambenedettesePineto
Wins32
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-12-33-0
Goals For4232
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricSambenedettesePineto
Form15%85%
Att20%80%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals33%67%
Total33.3%66.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pineto and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away3.10 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.89 (league 1.22), Pineto = 1.11 (league 1.08)

Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 13.6% 15.1% 8.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
1 12.0% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.3% 5.9% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 40.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1