Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Armando Picchi
Match Finished
3 - 1
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.22) 0.60 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.7% 35.0% 22.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.0%
1 - 0
20.2%
0 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 21.0% 12.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLivornoTorres
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack63%13%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Livorno Torres
HATHAT
Played77148614
Wins29%14%21%13%0%7%
Draws29%0%14%25%50%36%
Loses43%86%64%63%50%57%

Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLD • Torres: WLLDDLLLDLDLLD

League goals

Metric Livorno Torres
HATHAT
GF total639336
GF avg0.90.40.60.40.50.4
GA total9142310818
GA avg1.32.01.61.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLivornoTorres
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%79%43%79%
1.514%57%0%43%
2.50%29%0%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLivornoTorres
HATHAT
Clean sheets213123
Failed to score347538

Penalties

MetricLivornoTorres
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricLivornoTorres
Wins11
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-11-0—
Biggest losses0-33-00-23-0
Goals For2111
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricLivornoTorres
Form67%33%
Att83%17%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Livorno or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.97 @ Pinnacle
Away3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.96 (league 1.22), Torres = 0.60 (league 1.08)

Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Livorno 0 21.0% 12.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.2% 12.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.7% 5.8% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.7% · Draw 35.0% · Away win 22.2%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1