Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.22) 0.59 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 31.7% 19.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 0
17.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 17.6% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliArezzo
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack36%79%
Defense79%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Arezzo
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%71%64%86%71%79%
Draws43%14%29%0%29%14%
Loses0%14%7%14%0%7%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDW • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Ascoli Arezzo
HATHAT
GF total141125131528
GF avg2.01.61.81.92.12.0
GA total224459
GA avg0.30.30.30.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliArezzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%29%86%50%
1.550%0%50%14%
2.529%0%43%0%
3.514%0%14%0%
4.57%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliArezzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510347
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricAscoliArezzo
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAscoliArezzo
Wins65
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-10-3
Biggest losses—1-00-1—
Goals For5354
Goals Against1112

Model comparison

MetricAscoliArezzo
Form42%58%
Att31%69%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.7%51.3%

Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ 10Bet
Draw2.95 @ 188Bet
Away2.78 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 1.15 (league 1.22), Arezzo = 0.59 (league 1.06)

Arezzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 17.6% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.9% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 6.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 19.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1