Mon, Nov 24 2025 • 19:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.22) 0.85 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.9% 39.7% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.9%
0 - 1
25.3%
1 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 29.9% 25.3% 10.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaVis Pesaro
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack63%75%
Defense25%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins14%0%7%43%14%29%
Draws29%57%43%57%57%57%
Loses57%43%50%0%29%14%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDD • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Perugia Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total38117714
GF avg0.41.10.81.01.01.0
GA total614202810
GA avg0.92.01.40.31.10.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%79%64%50%
1.529%50%29%14%
2.50%14%7%7%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets303527
Failed to score527325

Penalties

MetricPerugiaVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPerugiaVis Pesaro
Wins11
Draws33
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-0—3-1
Goals For2232
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaVis Pesaro
Form35%65%
Att45%55%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vis Pesaro and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.00 @ Bet365
Away3.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.52 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.36 (league 1.22), Vis Pesaro = 0.85 (league 1.06)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 29.9% 25.3% 10.7% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.8% 9.1% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.9% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 45.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1