Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:30 • Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.22) 1.51 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 25.5% 44.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ravenna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 6.8% 10.3% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPinetoRavenna
Played55
Form60%73%
Attack55%64%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pineto Ravenna
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%43%40%75%71%73%
Draws38%29%33%13%14%13%
Loses25%29%27%13%14%13%

Form: Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWD • Ravenna: WLWWWWWWWLWWWDD

League goals

Metric Pineto Ravenna
HATHAT
GF total13821151126
GF avg1.61.11.41.91.61.7
GA total88169615
GA avg1.01.11.11.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePinetoRavenna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%67%87%67%
1.533%27%47%27%
2.513%13%33%7%
3.50%0%7%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPinetoRavenna
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricPinetoRavenna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricPinetoRavenna
Wins27
Draws20
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-02-4
Biggest losses2-33-00-31-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricPinetoRavenna
Form45%55%
Att46%54%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.3%57.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ravenna

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pineto = 1.18 (league 1.22), Ravenna = 1.51 (league 1.06)

Ravenna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pineto 0 6.8% 10.3% 7.7% 3.9% 1.5% 0.4%
1 8.0% 12.1% 9.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
2 4.7% 7.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 44.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1