Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 19:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.25 (league 1.22) 0.44 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 55.9% 29.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
50.3%
0 - 1
22.2%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 50.3% 22.2% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroAscoli
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack63%50%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

50%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Ascoli
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%50%71%60%
Draws57%50%53%38%14%27%
Loses0%38%20%13%14%13%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWL • Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWL

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Ascoli
HATHAT
GF total7815141125
GF avg1.01.01.01.81.61.7
GA total21012426
GA avg0.31.30.80.50.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroAscoli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%53%73%33%
1.527%20%47%7%
2.57%7%27%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroAscoli
HATHAT
Clean sheets5275510
Failed to score325314

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroAscoli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroAscoli
Wins16
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-00-3
Biggest losses—3-10-21-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroAscoli
Form53%47%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.5%50.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ascoli and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.55 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 0.25 (league 1.22), Ascoli = 0.44 (league 1.09)

Ascoli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 50.3% 22.2% 4.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 5.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 55.9% · Away win 29.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1