Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.22) 0.62 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.5% 25.2% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
13.7%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.3% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoSambenedettese
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack100%20%
Defense70%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins86%75%80%25%29%27%
Draws0%25%13%25%43%33%
Loses14%0%7%50%29%40%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWW • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDD

League goals

Metric Arezzo Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total1317307815
GF avg1.92.12.00.91.11.0
GA total4598715
GA avg0.60.60.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoSambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%47%67%80%
1.553%13%20%20%
2.540%0%7%0%
3.513%0%7%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoSambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets358213
Failed to score112415

Penalties

MetricArezzoSambenedettese
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricArezzoSambenedettese
Wins53
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-20-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-22-1
Goals For5442
Goals Against1222

Model comparison

MetricArezzoSambenedettese
Form79%21%
Att83%17%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away6.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ Bet365
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 1.56 (league 1.22), Sambenedettese = 0.62 (league 1.06)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.3% 7.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 11.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1