Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Pietro Barbetti
Match Finished
0 - 0
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.23) 0.48 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.5% 21.2% 9.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
2 - 0
16.5%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 10.3% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 8.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGubbioLivorno
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack82%55%
Defense45%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gubbio Livorno
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins14%38%27%38%14%27%
Draws71%38%53%25%0%13%
Loses14%25%20%38%86%60%

Form: Gubbio: WDDWWLDDLLWDDDD • Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDW

League goals

Metric Gubbio Livorno
HATHAT
GF total88169312
GF avg1.11.01.11.10.40.8
GA total9615101424
GA avg1.30.81.01.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGubbioLivorno
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%73%53%80%
1.513%20%20%53%
2.513%7%7%27%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGubbioLivorno
HATHAT
Clean sheets134213
Failed to score123347

Penalties

MetricGubbioLivorno
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricGubbioLivorno
Wins21
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricGubbioLivorno
Form64%36%
Att60%40%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution79%21%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total65.8%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Gubbio or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.14 @ 188Bet
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gubbio = 1.79 (league 1.23), Livorno = 0.48 (league 1.08)

Livorno
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gubbio 0 10.3% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.4% 8.9% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.5% 8.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.5% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 9.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1