Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 11:30 • Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.23) 1.63 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.9% 20.9% 29.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus U23 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJuventus U23Perugia
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack20%70%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Juventus U23 Perugia
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%25%33%25%0%13%
Draws0%38%20%25%57%40%
Loses57%38%47%50%43%47%

Form: Juventus U23: DWDLWWLLWLLLWLD • Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDW

League goals

Metric Juventus U23 Perugia
HATHAT
GF total99185813
GF avg1.31.11.20.61.10.9
GA total11102171421
GA avg1.61.31.40.92.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJuventus U23Perugia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%53%80%
1.547%27%33%47%
2.57%20%0%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJuventus U23Perugia
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score235527

Penalties

MetricJuventus U23Perugia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricJuventus U23Perugia
Wins21
Draws13
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-0—
Biggest losses2-44-20-23-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against4423

Model comparison

MetricJuventus U23Perugia
Form31%69%
Att22%78%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Perugia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Juventus U23 = 2.11 (league 1.23), Perugia = 1.63 (league 1.08)

Perugia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Juventus U23 0 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 5.0% 8.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1