Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.22) 1.76 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 23.3% 56.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 1
11.1%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 7.0% 12.3% 10.8% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaAthletic Carpi
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack63%63%
Defense25%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins43%13%27%38%57%47%
Draws14%25%20%38%0%20%
Loses43%63%53%25%43%33%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWL • Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLW

League goals

Metric Pontedera Athletic Carpi
HATHAT
GF total841211718
GF avg1.10.50.81.41.01.2
GA total13142710717
GA avg1.91.81.81.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaAthletic Carpi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%87%80%67%
1.527%53%33%33%
2.50%20%7%13%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaAthletic Carpi
HATHAT
Clean sheets112235
Failed to score347123

Penalties

MetricPontederaAthletic Carpi
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPontederaAthletic Carpi
Wins12
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-33-1
Goals For2123
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricPontederaAthletic Carpi
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h0%100%
Goals20%80%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Athletic Carpi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ 10Bet
Draw3.15 @ Pinnacle
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 0.90 (league 1.22), Athletic Carpi = 1.76 (league 1.08)

Athletic Carpi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 7.0% 12.3% 10.8% 6.4% 2.8% 1.0%
1 6.3% 11.1% 9.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.9%
2 2.8% 5.0% 4.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
3 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 56.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1