Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.22) 1.20 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 25.5% 30.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 6.8% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.1% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
Played55
Form80%53%
Attack67%67%
Defense78%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%63%50%38%13%25%
Draws38%0%19%63%50%56%
Loses25%38%31%0%38%19%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWW • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLD

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total118198816
GF avg1.41.01.21.01.01.0
GA total1071731013
GA avg1.30.91.10.41.30.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%63%69%56%
1.531%31%25%19%
2.56%13%6%6%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets246527
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
Wins21
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-1—3-1
Goals For2332
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiVis Pesaro
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h50%50%
Goals29%71%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Carpi or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 1.49 (league 1.22), Vis Pesaro = 1.20 (league 1.08)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 6.8% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 10.1% 12.1% 7.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.0% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1