Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.23) 1.08 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 33.3% 50.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.5%
0 - 0
20.7%
0 - 2
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 20.7% 22.5% 12.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.2% 11.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaTernana
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%60%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Ternana
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%0%13%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%25%50%38%
Loses50%50%50%25%25%25%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWL • Ternana: LLWWDWLWDWDDDDWL

League goals

Metric Perugia Ternana
HATHAT
GF total5813101020
GF avg0.61.00.81.31.31.3
GA total715228816
GA avg0.91.91.41.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaTernana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%81%75%75%
1.531%44%31%19%
2.50%13%13%6%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaTernana
HATHAT
Clean sheets303224
Failed to score538134

Penalties

MetricPerugiaTernana
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricPerugiaTernana
Wins12
Draws34
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—2-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-21-0
Goals For2224
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaTernana
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h38%62%
Goals60%40%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ternana and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Unibet
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.49 (league 1.23), Ternana = 1.08 (league 1.08)

Ternana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 20.7% 22.5% 12.2% 4.4% 1.2% 0.3%
1 10.2% 11.0% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 50.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1