Mon, Dec 8 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
2.06 (league 1.22) 0.61 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.5% 18.7% 9.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.7%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 8.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.7% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAscoliForli
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%67%
Defense58%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ascoli Forli
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins50%63%56%38%38%38%
Draws38%25%31%38%0%19%
Loses13%13%13%25%63%44%

Form: Ascoli: DWDWWWWWWDWLDWLD • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLD

League goals

Metric Ascoli Forli
HATHAT
GF total141226101020
GF avg1.81.51.61.31.31.3
GA total43781119
GA avg0.50.40.41.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAscoliForli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%38%75%81%
1.544%6%38%25%
2.525%0%13%13%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAscoliForli
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510213
Failed to score314134

Penalties

MetricAscoliForli
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAscoliForli
Wins62
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-33-10-2
Biggest losses0-21-02-33-2
Goals For5333
Goals Against2133

Model comparison

MetricAscoliForli
Form56%44%
Att33%67%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total58.5%41.5%

Advice: Double chance : Ascoli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ 188Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away6.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ascoli = 2.06 (league 1.22), Forli = 0.61 (league 1.06)

Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ascoli 0 6.9% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 8.7% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.7% 9.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 6.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1