Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Armando Picchi
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.22)
2.52 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 13.6% | 76.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
14.9%
0 - 3
12.5%
0 - 1
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 4.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 75% | 100% |
| Defense | 13% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 13% | 25% | 88% | 75% | 81% |
| Draws | 25% | 13% | 19% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 38% | 75% | 56% | 13% | 0% | 6% |
Form: Livorno: WLLLLWDLLWLLLDWD • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Livorno | Arezzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 88% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 50% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 25% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Livorno | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 25.7% | 74.5% |
Advice: Winner : Arezzo
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Livorno = 0.54 (league 1.22), Arezzo = 2.52 (league 1.08)
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Livorno | 0 | 4.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| 1 | 2.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.9% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 76.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1