Mon, Dec 15 2025 • 19:30 • Citta di Arezzo
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.22) 0.52 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.9% 23.9% 11.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.8% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArezzoPineto
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack55%45%
Defense73%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arezzo Pineto
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins88%67%76%33%38%35%
Draws0%22%12%33%38%35%
Loses13%11%12%33%25%29%

Form: Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWL • Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLD

League goals

Metric Arezzo Pineto
HATHAT
GF total14183213922
GF avg1.82.01.91.41.11.3
GA total471111920
GA avg0.50.80.61.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArezzoPineto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%47%88%71%
1.547%18%29%29%
2.535%0%12%18%
3.512%0%0%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArezzoPineto
HATHAT
Clean sheets459325
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricArezzoPineto
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricArezzoPineto
Wins52
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-10-33-0
Goals For5432
Goals Against1233

Model comparison

MetricArezzoPineto
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h20%80%
Goals39%61%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Arezzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ 188Bet
Away7.16 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arezzo = 1.62 (league 1.22), Pineto = 0.52 (league 1.06)

Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arezzo 0 11.8% 6.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.1% 9.9% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.4% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.9% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 11.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1