Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Renato Curi
Match Finished
4 - 0
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.22) 1.04 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 31.2% 37.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.7%
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 14.2% 14.7% 7.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPerugiaForli
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack44%100%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Perugia Forli
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%0%11%44%33%39%
Draws22%44%33%33%0%17%
Loses56%56%56%22%67%44%

Form: Perugia: DDDLLLLLLLWDDDWLLL • Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Perugia Forli
HATHAT
GF total6814141024
GF avg0.70.90.81.61.11.3
GA total91625101424
GA avg1.01.81.41.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePerugiaForli
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%83%72%83%
1.528%44%39%33%
2.50%11%17%17%
3.50%0%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPerugiaForli
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score549145

Penalties

MetricPerugiaForli
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricPerugiaForli
Wins12
Draws31
Losses73

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—4-20-2
Biggest losses0-23-02-33-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricPerugiaForli
Form50%50%
Att31%69%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Perugia or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.62 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Bet365
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Perugia = 0.92 (league 1.22), Forli = 1.04 (league 1.06)

Forli
0 1 2 3 4 5
Perugia 0 14.2% 14.7% 7.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.0% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.0% 6.2% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 37.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1