Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Sandro Cabassi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.75 (league 1.22) 1.13 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.1% 31.2% 44.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.9%
Score & goals probability table
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 15.3% 17.3% 9.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack55%36%
Defense36%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Carpi Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins33%56%44%33%56%44%
Draws44%0%22%44%11%28%
Loses22%44%33%22%33%28%

Form: Athletic Carpi: DWDLWLLWWDLWWLWWDL • Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDD

League goals

Metric Athletic Carpi Guidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
GF total1210226915
GF avg1.31.11.20.71.00.8
GA total1111225611
GA avg1.21.21.20.60.70.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%39%
1.533%33%17%22%
2.56%17%0%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
HATHAT
Clean sheets2466511
Failed to score123426

Penalties

MetricAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Wins22
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-20-22-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricAthletic CarpiGuidonia Montecelio 1937
Form54%46%
Att60%40%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Guidonia Montecelio 1937

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away3.01 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Athletic Carpi = 0.75 (league 1.22), Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 1.13 (league 1.06)

Guidonia Montecelio 1937
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Carpi 0 15.3% 17.3% 9.8% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.4% 12.9% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.1% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 44.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1