Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 16:30 • Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.22) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.1% 32.6% 35.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.1%
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 16.1% 15.2% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack27%55%
Defense64%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambenedettese Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
Played89179918
Wins25%22%24%44%11%28%
Draws25%44%35%56%56%56%
Loses50%33%41%0%33%17%

Form: Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLD • Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDW

League goals

Metric Sambenedettese Vis Pesaro
HATHAT
GF total79169918
GF avg0.91.00.91.01.01.0
GA total891731114
GA avg1.01.01.00.31.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%82%72%56%
1.518%18%22%17%
2.56%0%6%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets213628
Failed to score426325

Penalties

MetricSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
Wins31
Draws33
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-1—3-1
Goals For4232
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricSambenedetteseVis Pesaro
Form33%67%
Att33%67%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h60%40%
Goals67%33%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Sambenedettese or draw and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Unibet
Draw3.05 @ Betano
Away3.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.75 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambenedettese = 0.88 (league 1.22), Vis Pesaro = 0.94 (league 1.06)

Vis Pesaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambenedettese 0 16.1% 15.2% 7.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.4% 6.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 5.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 35.2%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1