Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Ettore Mannucci
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.23) 0.79 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.6% 30.9% 25.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 14.6% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontederaTorres
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack40%40%
Defense20%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontedera Torres
HATHAT
Played9101910818
Wins33%10%21%10%0%6%
Draws22%30%26%40%50%44%
Loses44%60%53%50%50%50%

Form: Pontedera: LLDWLLWDLLWDLWLLLDD • Torres: WLLDDLLLDLDLLDLDDD

League goals

Metric Pontedera Torres
HATHAT
GF total9716549
GF avg1.00.70.80.50.50.5
GA total151833121123
GA avg1.71.81.71.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontederaTorres
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%89%50%78%
1.526%53%0%39%
2.50%16%0%11%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontederaTorres
HATHAT
Clean sheets112134
Failed to score448549

Penalties

MetricPontederaTorres
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricPontederaTorres
Wins11
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-0—
Biggest losses0-45-00-23-0
Goals For2211
Goals Against4523

Model comparison

MetricPontederaTorres
Form33%67%
Att50%50%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Torres

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ 10Bet
Draw3.08 @ Pinnacle
Away2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.55 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Bet365
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Pontedera = 1.14 (league 1.23), Torres = 0.79 (league 1.08)

Torres
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontedera 0 14.6% 11.5% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.6% 13.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 9.4% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.6% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 25.3%

vtt 3 , vtd1