Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Attilio Bravi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.23) 1.02 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 30.9% 35.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.9%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bra 0 13.7% 13.9% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBraSambenedettese
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack35%12%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bra Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played109199918
Wins30%11%21%22%22%22%
Draws40%22%32%22%44%33%
Loses30%67%47%56%33%44%

Form: Bra: LDLDLLWLLDDWLLWDWLD • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDL

League goals

Metric Bra Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total128207916
GF avg1.20.91.10.81.00.9
GA total11172810919
GA avg1.11.91.51.11.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBraSambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%84%61%83%
1.532%42%17%22%
2.50%16%6%0%
3.50%5%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBraSambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score235527

Penalties

MetricBraSambenedettese
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricBraSambenedettese
Wins13
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-24-20-2
Biggest losses1-34-10-22-1
Goals For2242
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricBraSambenedettese
Form73%27%
Att75%25%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Bra or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.35 @ 10Bet
Draw3.21 @ Pinnacle
Away2.22 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bra = 0.97 (league 1.23), Sambenedettese = 1.02 (league 1.08)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bra 0 13.7% 13.9% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.5% 6.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 35.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1