Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:30 •
Stadio Tullo Morgagni
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.22)
1.97 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.6% | 21.6% | 57.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
1 - 2
9.9%
0 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Forli | 0 | 4.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 70% | 80% |
| Defense | 0% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 30% | 37% | 78% | 60% | 68% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 16% | 11% | 30% | 21% |
| Loses | 22% | 70% | 47% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
Form: Forli: LWWLLWLWDWDWLLLDLWL • Arezzo: WWWWLWWWWWDWDWWWLDD
League goals
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 10 | 24 | 17 | 19 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Forli | Arezzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 84% | 89% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 37% | 47% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 21% | 37% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Forli | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 32% | 68% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Arezzo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Forli = 1.05 (league 1.22), Arezzo = 1.97 (league 1.06)
| Arezzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Forli | 0 | 4.9% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | |
| 2 | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.6% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 57.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1