Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:30 •
Tonino Benelli
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.22)
0.37 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.1% | 34.2% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
0 - 0
23.9%
2 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Pineto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vis Pesaro | 0 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 20% | 32% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Draws | 56% | 50% | 53% | 30% | 44% | 37% |
| Loses | 0% | 30% | 16% | 30% | 22% | 26% |
Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWW • Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 11 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vis Pesaro | Pineto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 53% | 89% | 68% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 16% | 32% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 5% | 16% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | Pineto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Vis Pesaro or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 1.06 (league 1.22), Pineto = 0.37 (league 1.06)
| Pineto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vis Pesaro | 0 | 23.9% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 34.2% · Away win 12.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1