Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 19:30 • Tonino Benelli
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.22) 0.36 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.4% 34.1% 12.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
25.6%
0 - 0
24.0%
2 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 24.0% 8.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVis PesaroPineto
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack60%60%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vis Pesaro Pineto
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins44%20%32%40%33%37%
Draws56%50%53%30%44%37%
Loses0%30%16%30%22%26%

Form: Vis Pesaro: DDLWDLDDDWDWDWLDDWW • Pineto: DWDWLLLLWWDDWWDLDDW

League goals

Metric Vis Pesaro Pineto
HATHAT
GF total91120141226
GF avg1.01.11.11.41.31.4
GA total31114111223
GA avg0.31.10.71.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVis PesaroPineto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%53%89%68%
1.526%16%32%32%
2.55%5%16%21%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVis PesaroPineto
HATHAT
Clean sheets639426
Failed to score325112

Penalties

MetricVis PesaroPineto
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricVis PesaroPineto
Wins12
Draws32
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses—3-10-33-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricVis PesaroPineto
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Double chance : Vis Pesaro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Unibet
Draw2.95 @ 10Bet
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ 188Bet
No1.84 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vis Pesaro = 1.07 (league 1.22), Pineto = 0.36 (league 1.09)

Pineto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vis Pesaro 0 24.0% 8.6% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.6% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.7% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.9% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 34.1% · Away win 12.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1